As Great Power Competition intensifies with China and Russia, the Defense Department looks to add military capabilities, but rivals remain stable and avoid war for a variety of reasons.
- Michael Mazarr, senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and co-author of the report “Stabilizing Great-Power Rivalries,” said he and his colleagues found multiple variables indicate the relationship between the United States and China is moving in the wrong direction, towards instability.
- Mazarr said stability between rivals requires striking a balance of recognizing the interests of the other side while also showing strength and credibility.
- He said the term “rivalry” is a better term than “competition” for describing a clash of interests between two major, generally equal, powers.
- While conversation alone does not resolve conflicts of interest, President Biden’s November meeting with President Xi was helpful in continuing the process of senior leader discussions, said Mazarr.
- He said the United States’ relationship with Russia is also becoming less stable but has some hope for that to change.
Watch the full interview: